Stopped 5/14DG_MK TAXI MOV / [DG] TOMOGO!premium -- All DG campaigns stopped. No CV record; contribution to Brand Search unconfirmed.
Changed 5/14CV Action Setting Changed -- Changed primary CV actions for Google Search Ads to Purchase + ContentView. Install excluded as it cannot be set as a goal in Search Ads. This enables visibility into General Search's indirect contribution, allowing evaluation by ContentView count.
Recommendation: Maintain Brand Search only at ¥50K/month. Evaluate General Search after CV action change takes effect
0 CVs for 3 consecutive months -- ¥79,647/month of pure waste
CPM ¥938 is low, but CTR 0.93% indicates poor traffic quality
MoM: IMP -78.3%, Cost -80.2% -- Already in decline
Recommendation: Stop immediately and reallocate budget to Meta Install CP
SECTION 4SNS x Booking Correlation Summary
Data Period: Instagram CSV 2026/04/15-2026/05/12 (28 days) Source: Analysis Report (10).xlsx Sheet 13: SNS/Ad Lag Analysis / Instagram Post CSV
Lag correlation analysis between SNS metrics and daily bookings. Detecting patterns where "SNS activity 7 days ago influences today's bookings."
Source: Analysis Report Sheet 13: SNS/Ad Lag Analysis
Lag Correlation Table (SNS Metrics vs Bookings)
Period: 2026/04/15-2026/05/12 | Source: Instagram Post CSV / Analysis Report
Metric
Lag0
Lag1
Lag2
Lag3
Lag5
Lag7
Lag10
Lag14
Optimal Lag
SNS Views
-0.051
0.017
0.014
-0.008
0.013
0.065
0.013
-0.043
7 days
SNS Reach
-0.064
-0.028
-0.009
-0.039
0.016
0.038
-0.022
-0.011
5 days
SNS Saves
-0.054
-0.019
-0.009
-0.045
0.026
0.050
-0.027
-0.034
5 days
SNS Follows
0.019
0.148
0.023
0.083
0.049
0.093
0.025
-0.001
1 day
SNS Comments
0.067
0.195
0.028
0.115
0.054
0.090
0.026
0.019
1 day
User-Provided Analysis Values (Independent Instagram Post Data Analysis):
Lag7: Reach r=0.674, Saves r=0.672, Views r=0.665, Shares r=0.639, Follows r=0.615
Estimate: The above values are from a separate analysis methodology (post-level correlation), different from the Excel lag analysis sheet. The granularity differs from the full-period daily correlation in the Excel sheet.
Top 3 Viral Posts (Views/Day)
#
Post Date
Content
Views/Day
Impact on Bookings
1
5/11
MIA MIA (Influencer post)
36,989
4 BK on 5/12 -- Immediate effect at Lag1
2
4/20
Cheaper in Japan (Official)
11,900
6 BK on 4/27 -- Effect at Lag7
3
4/21
Live House Tour (Official)
5,163
Booking increase around 4/27-28
SECTION 5Booking Analysis (Last 28 Days)
Data Period: 2026/04/16-2026/05/13 (28 days) Source: Analysis Report (10).xlsx
Daily Booking Trend
Date ▲▼
Bookings ▲▼
WEB ▲▼
APP ▲▼
Sessions ▲▼
ViewHome ▲▼
Ad Cost ▲▼
CPO ▲▼
CVR% ▲▼
4/16
5
0
5
12
139
¥155,684
¥31,137
3.3%
4/17
7
0
7
78
144
¥159,474
¥22,782
3.2%
4/18
2
0
2
162
142
¥164,270
¥82,135
0.7%
4/19
3
0
3
194
155
¥162,947
¥54,316
0.9%
4/20
1
0
1
272
167
¥159,435
¥159,435
0.2%
4/21
0
0
0
189
142
¥153,847
-
0.0%
4/22
1
0
1
220
134
¥147,579
¥147,579
0.3%
4/23
3
2
1
156
128
¥128,601
¥42,867
1.1%
4/24
0
0
0
172
153
¥110,600
-
0.0%
4/25
0
0
0
106
135
¥124,944
-
0.0%
4/26
0
0
0
92
134
¥156,306
-
0.0%
4/27
6
0
6
142
148
¥139,217
¥23,203
2.1%
4/28
2
0
2
123
156
¥130,457
¥65,228
0.7%
4/29
2
0
2
91
129
¥117,321
¥58,660
0.9%
4/30
0
0
0
134
158
¥127,714
-
0.0%
5/1
2
0
2
152
165
¥152,816
¥76,408
0.6%
5/2
2
0
2
118
196
¥130,272
¥65,136
0.6%
5/3
0
0
0
125
202
¥145,502
-
0.0%
5/4
1
1
0
153
179
¥130,136
¥130,136
0.3%
5/5
1
0
1
106
172
¥111,895
¥111,895
0.4%
5/6
1
0
1
140
177
¥131,976
¥131,976
0.3%
5/7
0
0
0
148
172
¥157,242
-
0.0%
5/8
1
0
1
171
168
¥123,319
¥123,319
0.3%
5/9
0
0
0
100
188
¥119,244
-
0.0%
5/10
2
0
2
133
188
¥126,446
¥63,223
0.6%
5/11
3
2
1
164
185
¥129,945
¥43,315
0.9%
5/12
4
0
4
137
174
¥110,176
¥27,544
1.3%
5/13
0
0
0
207
175
¥118,417
-
0.0%
Zero-Booking Day Analysis
0 BK Day
Sessions
ViewHome
Notes
4/21 (Mon)
189
142
SNS Views 101K -- Viewing did not convert to bookings
4/24 (Thu)
172
153
High sessions but low CA (6)
4/25 (Fri)
106
135
Sessions declined
4/26 (Sat)
92
134
Weekend -- Lowest sessions
4/30 (Wed)
134
158
Install CP restart day -- 28 new installs
5/3 (Sat)
125
202
High ViewHome but CA to BK disconnected
5/7 (Wed)
148
172
Highest ad cost day ¥157K
5/9 (Fri)
100
188
Sessions at lowest level
5/13 (Tue)
207
175
Highest sessions yet BK=0
Day-of-Week Pattern
Day
Bookings/Day
Sessions
Ad Cost
Monday
2.0
235
¥114,375
Sunday
1.7
219
¥121,390
Wednesday
1.6
195
¥108,742
Thursday
1.5
178
¥109,504
Friday
1.5
235
¥111,511
Saturday
1.4
197
¥112,705
Tuesday
1.2
207
¥110,933
5/13 Zero-Booking Root Cause Analysis
Sessions reached 207 (highest in the last 28 days) yet 0 bookings.
Create Account (APP) = 5, Create Account (WEB) = 0.
ViewHome 175 → CA 5 (2.9%) → BK 0 (complete drop-off from CA to BK).
Estimate: New users from Install CP are browsing the app but dropping off entirely at the tour selection → booking completion funnel.
Suspected bottleneck: insufficient Local Experts (especially outside Tokyo) and limited tour inventory.
SECTION 6LE (Local Expert) Summary
Data Period: 2026/04/16-2026/05/13 (28 days) Source: Analysis Report (10).xlsx
Active LEs (May Average)
4.9
Sep: 7.3 → -24% decline
Tour x LE Correlation
r=0.660
LE count determines booking count
Kyoto Efficiency
2.68
Tokyo 1.44 → 1.86x higher
Tokyo LE Count
9.7
Highest count but lowest efficiency
Active LE Trend (Monthly)
7.3
Sep
6.8
Oct
7.1
Nov
6.5
Dec
6.0
Jan
5.8
Feb
5.5
Mar
5.2
Apr
4.9
May
Regional Efficiency
Region
LE Count (Avg)
Booking Efficiency
Efficiency Ratio (vs Tokyo)
Scaling Potential
Kyoto
3.6
2.68
1.86x
Top Priority -- Few LEs with high efficiency. Significant booking growth expected with more LEs
Tokyo
9.7
1.44
1.00x
Room for improvement through expanded tour lineup
Osaka
1.5
1.80
1.25x
Expansion candidate -- Second-highest efficiency after Kyoto
SECTION 7Optimization Recommendations
Recommendations based on all sections above
Top Priority
1. Stop Google General/DG Campaigns (Executed 5/14)
Stopped TAXI MOV + TOMOGO!premium (DG). CV=0 continues. Keep Brand Search only at ¥50,000/month, recovering ¥415,000/month.
Efficiency 2.68 (1.86x Tokyo). Increasing LEs from 3.6 to 6.0 projects a +67% increase in Kyoto bookings (estimated from r=0.660 correlation).
Impact: +3-5 bookings/month (zero ad spend)
High
3. Increase Meta Install CP Budget
CPI ¥410 -- most efficient. Reallocate portion of Google/TikTok savings (¥495K) to Meta Install CP. Strengthen Female 25-44 targeting.
Impact: +1,000 Installs/month → +2-3 BK/month via delayed CVs
High
4. ASA Negative Keywords + Category Optimization
Exclude irrelevant search terms to improve CPI. Concentrate budget on AU market (CPI ¥1,410). Category change to reduce CPT.
Impact: 20% CPI improvement → +15 Installs/month at same budget
Changed 5/14
5. Google Search CV Action Change
Primary CV: Purchase + ContentView (2 actions). Install excluded as it cannot be set as a goal in Google Search Ads. General Search has no Purchase CVs, but user intent is aligned. By adding ContentView as primary, indirect contribution becomes visible and optimization can be based on Purchase + ContentView dual metrics.
Impact: Enables evaluation of General Search by ContentView count
Budget Reallocation Simulation
Media
Current/Month
Proposed/Month
Difference
Rationale
Meta (Install CP)
¥1,072K
¥1,400K
+¥328K
Lowest CPI. Accelerate install acquisition
Meta (Purchase CP)
Included
Included
-
Maintain current
Google (Brand Only)
¥465K
¥50K
-¥415K
Stop General/TAXI
TikTok
¥80K
¥0
-¥80K
CV=0, stop immediately
ASA
¥70K
¥150K
+¥80K
Expand AU market
Total
¥1,687K
¥1,600K
-¥87K
Slight total reduction with improved efficiency
SECTION 8Individual Media Report Links
Detailed data periods are noted within each individual report